The tipping point from hidden mass discontent (preference falsification) into mass mobilisation against an authoritarian regime, as in Russia, can't be known. What is know they often occur when a crisis causes an irresolvable, open, split in that regime. x.com/McFaul/status/…
For those declaring with great confidence (& thin data) that Putin and Putinism will last forever in Russia, please reread @timurkuran classic, "Now Out of Never: The Element of Surprise in the East European Revolution of 1989." jstor.org/stable/2010422…